How do you compare: how much of your pay goes to your mortgage?

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The property market is going through a boom phase, which means housing affordability is getting tougher. So how much does the average Australian household need to put towards their monthly home loan repayments in the current market? Let’s take a look.

You’ve probably noticed the housing market is going a bit crazy at the moment.

FOMO has taken hold and many properties across the country are selling well above their reserve.

As such, housing affordability has deteriorated, says Moody’s Investor Service, reversing the improving trend seen in 2020 during the peak of the coronavirus crisis.

So what percentage of a pay cheque goes towards a typical home loan?

On average, two-income households need to put aside a quarter (24.6%) of their monthly income to meet repayments on a new home loan, as of February 2021.

That’s up from 22.7% in June and July 2020, when new mortgages were the most affordable they’ve been in a decade.

The deterioration in housing affordability was evident in all capital cities over the five months to February 2021, with Perth remaining the most affordable and Sydney the least.

That said, housing affordability still remains better than the ten-year average of 26.1% and well under its peak of 30.7% in April 2011.

That’s because the average mortgage interest rate has nearly halved to 3.65% since 2011, according to Moody’s.

Want to know how much you can borrow?

Got your eye on an exciting new property and want to know if you can get a loan for it?

Get in touch today and we’ll help you crunch the numbers, work out your borrowing capacity, and discuss your finance options.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Boom time: Australian home values surging at fastest pace in 17 years

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It’s official: Australia’s housing market is in the midst of a broad-based boom, with the national home value surging 2.1% higher in February; the largest month-on-month change since 2003.

We haven’t seen this kind of fast-paced growth since Guy Sebastian robbed Nollsie to win Australian Idol, Roger Federer won his first of 20 grand slams (against the Scud at Wimbledon), and people primarily used their mobile phones to make calls (well, and play Snake).

The February surge, which was recorded by CoreLogic’s national home value index, was spurred on by a combination of record low mortgage rates, improving economic conditions, government incentives and low advertised supply levels.

What areas experienced growth?

Well, that’s the remarkable part.

Housing values rose in each capital city and rest-of-state region, highlighting the unusual and diverse nature of this housing upswing.

According to CoreLogic’s research director Tim Lawless, a synchronised growth phase like this hasn’t been seen in Australia for more than a decade.

“The last time we saw a sustained period where every capital city and rest-of-state region was rising in value was mid-2009 through to early 2010, as post-GFC stimulus fueled buyer demand,” says Mr Lawless.

So which areas performed best then?

Sydney and Melbourne were among the strongest performing markets, recording a 2.5% and 2.1% lift in home values over the month respectively, and making up for their weaker performances throughout 2020.

The quarterly trend, however, favours the smaller cities, including Darwin (up 5.5% over the past three months), Hobart (4.8%), Perth (4.2%) and Canberra (3.7%).

And Mr Lawless says whether Sydney and Melbourne can sustain their new found growth is yet to be determined.

“Both cities are still recording values below their earlier peaks, however at this current rate of appreciation it won’t be long before Australia’s two most expensive capital city markets are moving through new record highs,” he adds.

“With household incomes expected to remain subdued and stimulus winding down, it is likely affordability will once again become a challenge in these cities.”

New home lending is up, cash rate remains on hold

There were two other very interesting pieces of news this week definitely worth noting for soon-to-be borrowers and refinancers.

Firstly, latest figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show the value of new home lending hit $28.75 billion in January, up a whopping 44% from the same time a year earlier in seasonally-adjusted terms.

That’s a record high, according to the ABS, and is reflective of the record low interest rates currently available.

Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept the official cash rate on hold at 0.1% during their March meeting.

Now, the RBA Governor Philip Lowe once again stated he doesn’t believe that the economic conditions required to increase the cash rate will be met until at least 2024.

But, there are more and more economic pundits suggesting he might be forced into a change of heart if the prudential regulator (APRA) doesn’t introduce lending caps to help cool the booming property market.

So with all that in mind, if you’d like to explore your borrowing or refinancing options in the current lending landscape – before any potential changes come into play – get in touch today.

We’re here to help you with all your home loan and refinancing needs.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

“On the cusp of a boom”: CBA’s assessment of the housing market

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Australia’s housing market is on the “cusp of a boom”, with house prices set to leap 16% over the next two years, according to the Commonwealth Bank (CBA).

The head of economics at Australia’s biggest bank, Gareth Aird, predicts national house prices will surge 9% in 2021 and a further 7% in 2022.

Apartment prices meanwhile are predicted to rise 5% in 2021 and 4% in 2022.

“The negative impact that COVID-19 had on Australian property prices turned out to be much more muted than almost any forecaster expected,” Mr Aird has written in a note to clients.

The CBA prediction is similar to that contained in an internal RBA FOI document, which projects house prices could rise by up to 30% if interest rates remain low over the next three years (which the RBA has indicated will happen).

So what can we expect across the country?

In Sydney and Melbourne, dwelling (house and apartment) prices are predicted to grow by at least 12% in the next two years, says Mr Aird.

That would see Sydney’s median dwelling price increase by a whopping $160,000 to $1.2 million, and Melbourne’s median dwelling price increase by $110,000 to $920,000.

Meanwhile, Perth values are tipped to rise 17.7% ($99,000), Brisbane 16.6% ($102,000), and Canberra 15.5% ($132,000).

Rounding out the capital cities, Adelaide is predicted to increase 14.5% ($86,000), Hobart 15% ($87,000) and Darwin 18% ($99,000).

So when and why are property prices set to increase?

Well, it appears as though the “boom” may have already just begun, Mr Aird explains in a CBA podcast.

“Over the first two weeks of February, national prices are up 0.8%. So we’re looking at over 1.5% in February alone,” says Mr Aird.

“Prices are now rising in all capital cities. And they’re rising quite quickly.”

Mr Aird says a strong indicator for property prices is lending figures, and over the last four to five months lending has picked up quite significantly.

“It’s quite intuitive when you think about it. The money that people borrow ends up going into the housing market, and that then pushes up housing prices. There’s usually about a six month lead time,” he explains.

“Initially, that (lending) was with owner-occupiers, but more recently it has spilled over to investors. And that is now feeding into house prices.”

Another strong indicator is auction clearance rates, adds Mr Aird.

“They are very, very firm at the moment. Nationally we’re seeing it sit in the 80s (percent), which historically has been consistent with double-digit dwelling price growth,” he says.

Other key momentum builders are the RBA advising that the record-low official cash rate won’t increase until 2024, says Mr Aird, and strong recovery in the labour market.

“The fact that the Reserve Bank has given explicit public guidance that rates are going to stay very, very low for a number of years, that’s given borrowers a lot of confidence to go out there and take on debt,” he says.

“All of those inputs that go into our model are screaming that house price rises could be faster than at any point we’ve seen before, and our model goes back 10 years.”

Explore your options

If you’re one of the many prospective homebuyers who are feeling confident about the housing market right now and want to explore your financing options, get in touch today.

We’re more than happy to help you determine whether you can finance that home you have your eye on before the next housing boom takes off.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Record-breaking: 5 big property trends in 2021

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After a bumpy 2020, 2021 is already rewriting the record books. From property prices, to interest rates, to refinancing – no matter which way you look records are being broken. Today we’ll look at why property market sentiment is riding so high.

How quickly things can turn around.

It wasn’t too long ago (9-10 months, to be more precise) that many highly-regarded economists were predicting property prices could plummet 30% due to COVID-19.

Instead, now we’re seeing official RBA documents predict that house prices could increase 30% over the next three years, so long as the official cash rate remains near record low levels (at or below 0.5%).

Suffice to say, market sentiment is soaring. So let’s take a look at some of the records currently being broken.

1. Record high housing values

Australian housing values have just reached a new record high as prices continue to rise across the country, according to CoreLogic.

In fact, housing values have surpassed pre-COVID levels by 1.0%, and the index is 0.7% higher than the previous September 2017 peak.

Every capital city and rest-of-state region recorded a rise in housing values in January, ranging from a 2.3% surge in Darwin to a relatively mild 0.4% rise in Sydney and Melbourne.

And unsurprisingly, regional housing values are rising at more than twice the pace of capital city markets due to COVID-19.

“Better housing affordability, an opportunity for a lifestyle upgrade and lower density housing options are factors that might be contributing to this trend, along with the new found popularity of remote working arrangements,” says CoreLogic’s research director, Tim Lawless.

2. Record low interest rates

In case you missed it, the RBA cut the official cash rate three times in 2020, with the last reduction in November taking the rate to just 0.1%.

At the same time, competition amongst lenders is fierce, with many offering record-low home loan rates in a bid to win over as many customers as possible.

3. Record high refinancing numbers

With record-low interest rates, it makes sense that we’re also seeing a record number of mortgage holders refinance their home loans to save themselves thousands of dollars.

According to ABS data, last year, the total number of home loan customers who switched providers increased by 27% – from 143,664 in 2019 to 182,016 in 2020.

And experts are predicting the number of externally refinanced loans will grow by 9% this year, according to a recent Finder survey, meaning nearly 200,000 Aussies will switch to another lender in 2021.

4. Record house building approvals

Private house approvals rose for the sixth consecutive month in December and reached a record high, according to Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) data.

In fact, private house building approvals surged 55.6% over the year.

“Federal and state housing stimulus measures (such as HomeBuilder), along with record low-interest rates have contributed to strong demand for detached dwellings,” says Daniel Rossi, Director of Construction Statistics at the ABS.

5. Record-high market positivity

With all of the above in mind, it’s no wonder that buyer confidence is surging.

In fact, positive sentiment among those in the property market has reached a record high, and negative sentiment is at an all-time low, according to ME Bank’s latest Quarterly Property Sentiment Report.

The buoyed sentiment is being supported by expectations for residential property price increases, higher levels of market activity and a combination of record-low interest rates and government stimulus incentives, says ME Bank.

That’s pretty much everything we’ve just touched upon today.

So, if you’re feeling pretty confident yourself and are looking to buy, or you think you’re overdue for refinancing, get in touch today.

We’re here to help you with all your funding and refinancing needs.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

House prices projected to jump 30% in three years: RBA

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It’s the document that was never meant to see the light of day. But a Freedom of Information request reveals the Reserve Bank of Australia projects a 30% increase in house prices if interest rates remain low for the next few years.

The internal, not-meant-for-public-viewing analysis by the RBA looks at the impact of low interest rates on asset prices, including property.

The November 2020 document projects that housing prices could increase by 30% after about three years, so long as the official cash rate remains near record low levels (at or below 0.5%).

And that part of the equation looks promising, as the RBA board said they “weren’t expecting to increase the cash rate for at least three years” when they cut it to 0.1% in November.

What does this mean for property owners?

A lot more than just a potential 30% increase in the value of their property.

The RBA says both households and businesses can expect their borrowing capacity to increase, too.

That’s because low interest rates will lift asset prices (including property), which in turn will boost wealth, household spending and the value of collateral.

And as the value of collateral increases, so too will the borrowing capacity of households and businesses, the RBA document states.

What about prospective property owners?

With house prices projected by the RBA to rise 30% over the coming three years, it begs the question: is now a good time to jump into the property market?

Well, like most things in life, it will depend on your earnings, savings, borrowing capacity, goals, and where you’re at in life right now.

But it’s worth noting that there are a wide variety of generous federal and state government initiatives currently on offer, including the First Home Loan Deposit Scheme, HomeBuilder and stamp duty exemptions/concessions.

The quickest way to find out whether you can finance that home you have your eye on is to get in touch with us today – we’d love to explore your financing options with you.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.