Has the tide turned? What the RBA rate pause means for homeowners

Mortgage holders rejoice – the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept the cash rate on hold in August for the second month in a row. So have we finally reached calmer waters? Or is there one last rate rise wave headed our way? 

In what many will see as better news than a Matildas’ World Cup win, the RBA held interest rates steady in August for the second month in a row.

After a relentless string of rate hikes (12 since April 2022), homeowners may be sceptical about what’s happening.

So is the RBA board finally satisfied we’ve endured enough rate hikes? Or is RBA Governor Philip Lowe saving one last rate hike for mortgage holders as a parting gift before he vacates his position next month?

Let’s take a closer look at some of the underlying data.

Inflation pressures are easing

The RBA has made it clear that it has been hiking rates to help lower inflation.

So it was welcome news this week when the Australian Bureau of Statistics announced that annual inflation has dropped to 6.0%.

It’s fair to say most of us wouldn’t normally celebrate goods and services prices rising 6% over the past year.

However, it’s a sign that inflation is still falling from its peak of 7.8%, and that’s exactly what the RBA has been aiming for.

Why the rate pause?

The RBA knows it’s treading a fine line with interest rate decisions. At its August board meeting the central bank explained why it kept interest rates in a holding pattern:

– It can take time for the economy to respond to previous rate hikes.

– The outlook for household spending is uncertain. Many households are experiencing a squeeze on their finances. Others are benefiting from rising housing prices and higher interest income.

– Consumer spending has slowed “substantially” due to cost-of-living pressures and higher interest rates.

The tide might be turning, but is one last rate rise wave coming?

Inflation is down. Rates are steady.

So far, so good.

But we may not be in calmer waters just yet.

As this diagram shows, inflation is still well above the RBA’s target range of 2-3%.

So the RBA has left the door open for further rate hikes depending on how the economy is tracking, and of course, what happens with inflation.

Indeed, the RBA said as much in its latest rate announcement: “Some further tightening of monetary policy may be required to ensure that inflation returns to target in a reasonable timeframe”.

So … what’s the rate outlook?

As mentioned earlier, RBA Governor Philip Lowe will vacate the top job on September 17 and be replaced by his deputy, Michele Bullock.

Thus, one might think that if any more rate rises were planned in the short term, they’d take place before that transition occurs to help give Ms Bullock a clean slate to work from (assuming inflation data continues on a downward trend). And there’s only one RBA board meeting between then and now – on September 5.

Indeed, Westpac has made a bold call, saying we could be heading into a lengthy period of stable rates ahead of a rate cut, possibly in the second half of 2024.

So, with any luck, we could be through the thick of it.

Then again, all things considered, interest rates are now much higher than they were 18 months ago and will likely remain so for some time.

So if it’s been a while since you last looked at your home loan and current interest rate, call us today to make sure you’re paying a competitive rate on a loan that’s well-suited to your needs.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Why are fixed rates still rising? And when might they drop again?

With plenty of pundits tipping interest rates will start to fall in the next 12 months, we look at why the big banks are hiking their fixed rates – and unpack what it means for the rate outlook.

The past few months have seen interest rates on fixed home loans deliver more ups and downs than a rollercoaster.

As recently as April 2023, a number of lenders were starting to cut their fixed rates.

Fast forward to July, and the major banks – NAB, Westpac, ANZ and the Commonwealth Bank – have all upped their fixed rates in the past fortnight.

Now you won’t find a fixed rate below 6% among the big four banks.

But aren’t interest rates expected to fall?

Home owners battling high rates are generally being urged to “hang in there” because interest rates are expected to slide down from their current highs over the next 18 months.

Westpac is predicting the Reserve Bank’s cash rate will drop to 3.85% by the end of next year.

Better still, NAB is anticipating the cash rate could dip to 3.10% by late 2024.

So … why are fixed rates rising then?

Some lenders are stepping up their fixed rates because they believe rates may go higher before they trend lower.

NAB and Westpac are both tipping the cash rate, currently sitting at 4.10%, could go as high as 4.60% by the end of the year.

Over at the Commonwealth Bank, the expectation is for one more rate hike, taking the cash rate to 4.35%, with a chance the cash rate may ratchet up to 4.60%.

This can all be confusing. The main point is that the prospect of rates heading higher before they head south again is a key factor driving some fixed rates higher.

What should I do?

The first step is to bear in mind that forecasts are just that – predictions. Not even the banks have foolproof crystal balls.

And the recent news that inflation slowed in the June 2023 quarter, with quarterly price rises being the lowest since September 2021, could see the Reserve Bank ease back on the interest rate dial. It could even bring fixed rates back down.

It’s also worth pointing out that not every lender is lifting their fixed rates.

A number of smaller lenders have trimmed their fixed rates, with some still offering rates below 6.0%.

That’s why it’s so important to get in touch so we can help you explore a wide range of lenders and loan products.

Your next step

Locking in your loan rate can bring certainty to your budget, and eliminate the stress of the rollercoaster rate ride.

If you’re not sure whether to go variable or fixed – or a combination of both – get in touch to see how the numbers stack up for your situation.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Where homeowners are spending $1 billion a month

Australians are showering their homes with $1 billion worth of love each month as home improvement spending ramps up. We look at the cost of popular renovations – and how to foot the bill.

Belts may be tightening but not, it seems, for renovators.

The latest figures from the ABS show Australians spent a whopping $1,044 million on home renovations in May 2023 alone. That’s up 4.3% on the previous month.

Our passion for renovating may stem from binge-watching home improvement shows through the pandemic. But there could be another factor at play.

It can simply be a lot cheaper to renovate your home than to sell up and buy elsewhere.

If you’re thinking of a few home improvements, here’s what to consider.

What are the most popular renovations?

The 2022 Houzz & Home Report reveals which rooms Australians have targeted for home improvements.

The kitchen comes up trumps, accounting for almost one in four (23%) renovations.

Other top contenders were living room, bathroom and bedroom makeovers (each 20%).

How much will a renovation cost?

A key step in planning a renovation is crunching the numbers to know the likely cost. This is a must-do before you start collecting colour charts and carpet samples.

Smaller renovations can be affordable do-it-yourself projects. For any structural or specialist work it pays to call in the tradies – and that’s when the cost can start to escalate.

The latest Archicentre Cost Guide sets out typical costs for popular home improvements.

As a guide, you can expect to pay:

– $75-$120 per square metre to polish timber floorboards;
– up to $35 per square metre for interior painting;
– up to $4,600 for an extension; and
– up to $48,000 for a new kitchen (excluding appliances).

While home improvements may not come cheap, quality renovations can boost your lifestyle and your home’s value.

They can also be a money-saver – ‘green’ improvements such as installing rooftop solar panels can put money back in your hip pocket through lower utility bills.

How to pay for renovations

Working out how you’ll pay for a renovation is an essential part of the planning process.

You need to be sure you can comfortably afford the improvements, and avoid the not-so-exciting prospect of running out of funds mid-way through a project.

Using cash savings or a personal loan may be suitable for smaller projects – the shorter term of a personal loan (usually less than five years) can help keep a lid on the interest cost.

For more expensive projects, a home loan top-up can be a quick and easy solution, though it can hinge on you having sufficient home equity to qualify for additional funds.

At the top end of the scale, a dedicated renovation or construction loan is another option.

These can work by drip-feeding funds as different stages of the project are ticked off. You generally only pay interest on funds drawn down, making the cost more manageable.

Get started on your renovation

If a renovation is on your bucket list, call us to discover the options available to fund your project – and the costs involved.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Could apartment living help you dive into the property market sooner?

Buying a home for the first time can be challenging, especially with house prices soaring in recent years. So could switching from house hunting to unit searching be the way forward for you?

There’s no denying that getting into the property market in today’s economic climate ain’t easy.

The average Australian house price is now $725,000 – that’s 30% more expensive than the average national unit price.

Compare the price gap to September 2021, when the national median house price was $570,000 – just 9.6% higher than the median unit price of $520,000.

But is opting for a unit the right move for you?

Today we’ll look into the pros and cons of buying an apartment for your first home.

Affordability, lifestyle and location

First the pros: units are usually more affordable than houses.

Median capital city house prices have grown 31.6% in the past five years, while units have only increased by 9.8%.

Lower prices can not only make it quicker for you to save a deposit for an apartment, they could also make you eligible for better stamp duty concessions (either reducing your stamp duty bill or eliminating it entirely, depending on your state or territory).

And while a unit may not always have space to accommodate future expansions to your life and family, they are often located in thriving local community hubs with amenities, shops, and transport on your doorstep – great for young families still wanting to be in the thick of the action.

Potential for investment

Admittedly, owning a house can have advantages over owning a unit.

For starters, you don’t have to fork out for body corporate fees. And the capital growth you can gain from owning the plot of land your abode sits on often makes house ownership more attractive.

But buying a unit – rather than holding off until you can afford a house – also offers investment potential.

By purchasing a unit, you’re investing and building up your own equity, rather than paying off someone else’s mortgage if you’re renting.

So while you may not be able to buy the house just yet, an apartment can provide a valuable stepping stone to reaching that goal.

And should you be in a position to hang onto your unit when you upgrade to a home, you may get some decent rental income – if you buy in the right spot.

On top of this, unit upkeep can be easier because those body corporate or strata fees go towards various maintenance activities.

Other affordable options

All that said, if apartment living isn’t for you, there are other cost-effective options for you to explore.

You could consider searching slightly further afield, with recent research identifying “sister suburbs” that are up to 200% cheaper than their in-demand neighbouring suburbs.

Rent-to-own arrangements could also make it easier for you to crack the market. These arrangements enable tenants to buy the property they’ve been renting once the lease ends, at a previously agreed price.

And whether you’re in the market for a house or a unit, there are government schemes that can help you fast-track home ownership and save.

The federal government has three low deposit, no lenders mortgage insurance (LMI) schemes available for eligible first-home buyers, regional first-home buyers, and single parents.

Eligible buyers can purchase a home with a deposit as little as 5% through the First Home Guarantee and Regional First Home Guarantee. While the Family Home Guarantee assists eligible single parents and guardians to buy with a 2% deposit.

Not paying LMI can save you anywhere between $4,000 and $35,000 – depending on the property price and your deposit amount.

The good news is that eligible first-home buyers can bundle the federal home guarantee schemes with other state government first-home buyer grants and stamp duty concessions for major savings.

Get in touch

If you’d like to give renting the big swerve and get a place of your own, give us a call.

Not only can we help you find a suitable loan and help organise your finances, we know the government schemes you may be eligible for to help get you into your first home sooner.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Breaking out of mortgage prison: can easing serviceability buffers help?

Have you been keen to refinance but told you can’t? You’re not alone. Many Australian households are currently locked into their home loans due to rising interest rates. But some banks have recently started to lower their serviceability thresholds. 

As interest rates have climbed, Australians have refinanced in unprecedented numbers.

In fact, a record high of $21.3 billion in refinancing took place in March 2023, according to ABS statistics – 14.2% higher compared to a year ago.

But some people are now unable to refinance and take advantage of potential savings because they don’t meet lender requirements.

They’re locked into what’s called “mortgage prison”.

What’s mortgage prison?

You see, prudential regulator APRA has guidance in place that requires lenders to stress-test all new mortgage applications at 3% above the interest rate the borrower applies for – even when refinancing.

And since the RBA’s official cash rate has increased from 0.10% to 4.10% in just 13 short months, many mortgage holders are now unable to refinance because they can no longer meet the 3% mortgage serviceability buffer.

But, there is an “exceptions to policy” in APRA’s guidance that states lenders can override the 3% buffer for exceptional or complex credit applications, if done prudently and on a case-by-case basis.

So recently some big players – including Westpac and Commonwealth Bank (CBA) – reduced their refinancing serviceability buffers to as low as 1%, if borrowers meet certain circumstances (more on that below).

Other smaller lenders are making similar moves, including Westpac subsidiaries St George, Bank of Melbourne and BankSA.

Many in the industry hope this will reduce mortgage stress and defaulted loans, given the current financial climate of rising rates and inflation.

What are the eligibility requirements?

They differ from lender to lender.

But for CBA you’ll need to have a loan-to-value ratio of at least 80%, a squeaky clean record of meeting all your debt repayments over the past year, and be refinancing to a principal and interest loan of a similar or lower value.

You’ll need to meet the 1% mortgage serviceability buffer, too.

For Westpac’s new “streamlined refinance”, you must have a credit score of more than 650.

You’ll also need a good track record of paying down all existing debts over the past 12 months, be refinancing to a loan that has lower monthly repayments than your existing one, and meet the 1% buffer test too, of course.

What’s the catch?

Ok, so under CBA’s new policy, for example, borrowers must extend their loan term out to 30 years.

Obviously this can cost you quite a lot in interest over the long run.

For example, RateCity research shows that if you took out a $500,000 loan with a Big Four bank three years ago, and if you applied for CBA’s refinancing offer today, your mortgage repayments could drop by as much as $235 a month.

But over the long run, you could pay up to an extra $32,117 in interest because you’d be extending your loan by an additional three years.

So while this option could help alleviate some financial stress now, you may have to pay for it over the long run – there’s a bit to weigh up.

Are the recent serviceability changes right for you?

Give us a call today to find out more about refinancing and successfully navigating serviceability thresholds.

We can guide you on ways to improve your chances of refinancing success and help you escape “mortgage prison”.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.