Boom time: Australian home values surging at fastest pace in 17 years

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It’s official: Australia’s housing market is in the midst of a broad-based boom, with the national home value surging 2.1% higher in February; the largest month-on-month change since 2003.

We haven’t seen this kind of fast-paced growth since Guy Sebastian robbed Nollsie to win Australian Idol, Roger Federer won his first of 20 grand slams (against the Scud at Wimbledon), and people primarily used their mobile phones to make calls (well, and play Snake).

The February surge, which was recorded by CoreLogic’s national home value index, was spurred on by a combination of record low mortgage rates, improving economic conditions, government incentives and low advertised supply levels.

What areas experienced growth?

Well, that’s the remarkable part.

Housing values rose in each capital city and rest-of-state region, highlighting the unusual and diverse nature of this housing upswing.

According to CoreLogic’s research director Tim Lawless, a synchronised growth phase like this hasn’t been seen in Australia for more than a decade.

“The last time we saw a sustained period where every capital city and rest-of-state region was rising in value was mid-2009 through to early 2010, as post-GFC stimulus fueled buyer demand,” says Mr Lawless.

So which areas performed best then?

Sydney and Melbourne were among the strongest performing markets, recording a 2.5% and 2.1% lift in home values over the month respectively, and making up for their weaker performances throughout 2020.

The quarterly trend, however, favours the smaller cities, including Darwin (up 5.5% over the past three months), Hobart (4.8%), Perth (4.2%) and Canberra (3.7%).

And Mr Lawless says whether Sydney and Melbourne can sustain their new found growth is yet to be determined.

“Both cities are still recording values below their earlier peaks, however at this current rate of appreciation it won’t be long before Australia’s two most expensive capital city markets are moving through new record highs,” he adds.

“With household incomes expected to remain subdued and stimulus winding down, it is likely affordability will once again become a challenge in these cities.”

New home lending is up, cash rate remains on hold

There were two other very interesting pieces of news this week definitely worth noting for soon-to-be borrowers and refinancers.

Firstly, latest figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show the value of new home lending hit $28.75 billion in January, up a whopping 44% from the same time a year earlier in seasonally-adjusted terms.

That’s a record high, according to the ABS, and is reflective of the record low interest rates currently available.

Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept the official cash rate on hold at 0.1% during their March meeting.

Now, the RBA Governor Philip Lowe once again stated he doesn’t believe that the economic conditions required to increase the cash rate will be met until at least 2024.

But, there are more and more economic pundits suggesting he might be forced into a change of heart if the prudential regulator (APRA) doesn’t introduce lending caps to help cool the booming property market.

So with all that in mind, if you’d like to explore your borrowing or refinancing options in the current lending landscape – before any potential changes come into play – get in touch today.

We’re here to help you with all your home loan and refinancing needs.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

SME credit demand improves, lenders begin next phase of COVID-19 support

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Things are starting to look better for small business owners across the country with just 5% of deferred business loans yet to resume repayments. Meanwhile, there are signs that business credit demand is improving, especially when it comes to asset finance.

The first bit of data comes from the Australian Banking Association (ABA), which shows just 11,263 business loans across the country are yet to resume repayments.

That’s a huge drop from the height of the pandemic back in June when more than 200,000 small business loans were deferred.

With automatic loan deferrals now coming to an end, the next phase of support for borrowers who are unable to make reduced repayments or restructure their loans will involve assistance from specialised hardship teams.

As part of this support, banks have developed an industry-wide, consistent approach to hardship and a new online assistant hub to guide customers in financial hardship and improve transparency.

“Customers can expect a thoughtful and compassionate approach, with clear and transparent explanations, regardless of who they bank with,” says ABA CEO Anna Bligh.

Credit demand improving

The other positive news for business confidence around the nation is that credit demand is showing signs of recovery, especially when it comes to asset finance.

Equifax’s Quarterly Business Credit Demand Index for the December 2020 quarter shows that while business loan applications were down 10.1% from the year before, the rate of decline has softened.

Applications in Victoria were up 7% in December 2020 compared to the September quarter, closely followed by Queensland and Western Australia (+5%).

Better yet, asset finance applications were actually 0.2% higher than the same period a year earlier.

“While overall business credit demand remains down, it is encouraging to see that there are signs of a turnaround,” says Equifax’s General Manager Commercial and Property Services Scott Mason.

“The lifting of extended restrictions in Victoria has allowed for a rebound in business credit applications driven by asset finance.”

How’s 2021 looking for your business?

If you’re starting to feel confident about your business’s outlook in 2021, and you want to explore your finance options to make the most of any upcoming opportunities, then please get in touch.

It’s worth mentioning that the federal government’s ‘temporary full expensing’ scheme – which allows businesses to immediately deduct the business portion of the cost of eligible new depreciating assets – is in place until 30 June 2022.

If you’d like to find out more about how it could assist with your business’s cash flow when purchasing assets, feel free to give us a call today.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Tick tock – is time running out for first home buyers?

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The first home buyer market had a bumper year in 2020 due to modest declines in property prices, reduced investor activity, and a range of government incentives. But with those advantages tailing off, how will first home buyers compete in 2021?

Another week, another big bank tipping national property prices are set to boom.

This week it was Westpac’s turn, with their senior economist tipping property prices to increase 10% in 2021 and another 10% in 2022.

This follows AMP predicting a 5-10% property price increase in 2021, and Commonwealth Bank expecting house prices will increase by 9% in 2021 and 7% in 2022.

Meanwhile, auction clearance rates are high – in the 80% plus range, according to CoreLogic.

So is time running out for first home buyers?

Not at all, but it sure won’t get any easier as property prices increase throughout the year.

Furthermore, the federal government’s HomeBuilder scheme is set to finish at the end of March.

The scheme provides buyers with $15,000 grants to build or substantially renovate homes that are generally in the first home buyer price range.

With the above in mind, the REA Insights Property Outlook Report 2021 states that ‘first home buyers are set to moderate in 2021’.

“In 2021, it is unlikely first home buyers will continue to be as active as they were. Prices are moving quickly; investors are coming back and any incentives available to first home buyers are likely to be eased,” the recently released report says.

The REA adds that first home buyers tend to be more active in slower markets when they can take their time.

But with savvy property investors returning to the market, this can add pressure to first home buyers.

“Investors and first home buyers frequently target the same sorts of properties at similar price points,” explains the report.

So what can first home buyers do to compete in 2021?

Rest assured there are a number of strategies first home buyers can employ to crack the property market in 2021.

With competition for properties heating up, it’s important to have your ducks-in-a-row when it comes to finance before you start looking.

This can help you find properties within your price range, identify any additional costs you may not have factored in yet, and make an offer while your preferred property is still available.

It’s also worth noting that the federal government is set to release another 10,000 spots in its First Home Loan Deposit Scheme on July 1, which can help you buy your first home with a deposit of just 5% without having to pay lenders mortgage insurance (LMI).

Another consideration is shifting the focus of your property search – whether that be the location or property type.

For example, house prices are predicted to grow a lot quicker than apartment prices this year.

So if you’re not quite ready to buy just yet, and it appears that properties are rising quickly out of your price range, consider that the apartment market should move more slowly.

Get the ball rolling today

If you’d like to discuss more options when it comes to obtaining finance to pay for your much-anticipated first home, get in touch with us today.

As mentioned above, the more prepared you are when it comes to financing your first home, the less stressful the whole buying process will be.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

“On the cusp of a boom”: CBA’s assessment of the housing market

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Australia’s housing market is on the “cusp of a boom”, with house prices set to leap 16% over the next two years, according to the Commonwealth Bank (CBA).

The head of economics at Australia’s biggest bank, Gareth Aird, predicts national house prices will surge 9% in 2021 and a further 7% in 2022.

Apartment prices meanwhile are predicted to rise 5% in 2021 and 4% in 2022.

“The negative impact that COVID-19 had on Australian property prices turned out to be much more muted than almost any forecaster expected,” Mr Aird has written in a note to clients.

The CBA prediction is similar to that contained in an internal RBA FOI document, which projects house prices could rise by up to 30% if interest rates remain low over the next three years (which the RBA has indicated will happen).

So what can we expect across the country?

In Sydney and Melbourne, dwelling (house and apartment) prices are predicted to grow by at least 12% in the next two years, says Mr Aird.

That would see Sydney’s median dwelling price increase by a whopping $160,000 to $1.2 million, and Melbourne’s median dwelling price increase by $110,000 to $920,000.

Meanwhile, Perth values are tipped to rise 17.7% ($99,000), Brisbane 16.6% ($102,000), and Canberra 15.5% ($132,000).

Rounding out the capital cities, Adelaide is predicted to increase 14.5% ($86,000), Hobart 15% ($87,000) and Darwin 18% ($99,000).

So when and why are property prices set to increase?

Well, it appears as though the “boom” may have already just begun, Mr Aird explains in a CBA podcast.

“Over the first two weeks of February, national prices are up 0.8%. So we’re looking at over 1.5% in February alone,” says Mr Aird.

“Prices are now rising in all capital cities. And they’re rising quite quickly.”

Mr Aird says a strong indicator for property prices is lending figures, and over the last four to five months lending has picked up quite significantly.

“It’s quite intuitive when you think about it. The money that people borrow ends up going into the housing market, and that then pushes up housing prices. There’s usually about a six month lead time,” he explains.

“Initially, that (lending) was with owner-occupiers, but more recently it has spilled over to investors. And that is now feeding into house prices.”

Another strong indicator is auction clearance rates, adds Mr Aird.

“They are very, very firm at the moment. Nationally we’re seeing it sit in the 80s (percent), which historically has been consistent with double-digit dwelling price growth,” he says.

Other key momentum builders are the RBA advising that the record-low official cash rate won’t increase until 2024, says Mr Aird, and strong recovery in the labour market.

“The fact that the Reserve Bank has given explicit public guidance that rates are going to stay very, very low for a number of years, that’s given borrowers a lot of confidence to go out there and take on debt,” he says.

“All of those inputs that go into our model are screaming that house price rises could be faster than at any point we’ve seen before, and our model goes back 10 years.”

Explore your options

If you’re one of the many prospective homebuyers who are feeling confident about the housing market right now and want to explore your financing options, get in touch today.

We’re more than happy to help you determine whether you can finance that home you have your eye on before the next housing boom takes off.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Back up for grabs: 1800 first home buyer scheme spots reissued

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Great news just in for first home buyers: the Australian government will reissue 1800 First Home Loan Deposit Scheme (FHLDS) spots from the 2019-20 financial year. 

The 1800 spots are back up for grabs because people who previously reserved a spot in the Australian government scheme were unable to complete the purchase of their first home.

Their loss can be your gain!

The FHLDS allows eligible first home buyers to break into the property market sooner, as you only need a 5% deposit to purchase a property without paying for lenders mortgage insurance (LMI).

This can save you anywhere between $4,000 and $40,000, depending on the property price and the deposit amount you’ve saved.

More locations now possible

Ok, so the FHLDS has these things called ‘property price thresholds’.

Basically, they mean you can only qualify for the scheme if you purchase a property under a certain price tag in certain locations.

The good news is that the thresholds were recently increased to allow first home buyers a greater range of options.

And helpfully, property research group CoreLogic has just identified suburbs that – due to COVID-19 and the slight impact it had on inner-city apartment prices – are now a prime option for first home buyers in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth.

They’ve identified 23 suburbs where median unit values have slipped below the FHLDS property price thresholds in the past 12 months.

Here’s the full list, but some highlights include:

Sydney: Strathfield, Arncliffe, Ashfield, Gladesville, Wentworth Point.

Melbourne: Brunswick, South Melbourne, St Kilda East, Thornbury, Docklands.

Brisbane: South Brisbane.

Perth: Munster.

Time’s ticking!

It’s important to note that FHLDS spots are usually reserved pretty quickly.

So if you’re thinking about purchasing your first home soon and want to make the most of the scheme, give us a call today – we’ll help you get the ball rolling on applying with one of the scheme’s participating lenders.

And even if you are unable to jag one of the 1800 reissued spots, you’ll be in a prime position to apply when a further 10,000 spots are released on July 1.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.