Coming into land … is the Theme of this Month’s HTW Month in Review

Vacant property provides an easy to understand benchmark for locations throughout the nation, so this month, we’ve decided to studiously indulge the desire for dirt and look at its influence across our wide brown land, taking a look at Melbourne! Here are some of the highlights:

 

– With the government push to encourage housing development, several land estates have been underway. The main service areas exist on the outer fringes comprising of Point Cook, Williams Landing, Craigieburn, Wallan, Melton, Werribee and Pakenham.

– Some estates are even going one step further and providing common facilities such as gyms, pools and tennis courts for exclusive use of estate residents.

– Point Cook appears to be the most sought after and priciest suburb for land, located approximately 25 kilometres southwest of Melbourne’s CBD. On average to purchase in the suburb will cost $558 per square metre, with a typical allotment costing around $270,000.

– Those unable to afford in the area will be pushed out to areas such as Tarneit with less demand, located 28 kilometres south west with a median price of $470 per square metre and land prices averaging around $189,000 for a standard allotment.

– Lot sizes in the area are becoming smaller in order to attract first home buyers and young families who are taking up around 75% to 80% of vacant land sales and who are budget conscious buyers seeking the flexibility of building smaller houses on smaller blocks.

– A rare development in Ascot Vale, located approximately seven kilometres from Melbourne’s CBD, has recently been undertaken. Known as the Ascot Chase/Enclave development, the project consists of 400 dwellings on 16 hectares of land located on the boundary of Walter Street, the Walter Reserve, Newsom Street, Stanford Street and Doncaster Street.

– Features of the development include close proximity to Melbourne’s CBD, two hectares of parkland, wetlands, an outdoor amphitheatre and walking and cycling trails. The developers of the estate, Mirvac, are releasing land of approximately 250 to 300 square metres and implementing design guidelines such as requiring a minimum 6 Star NatHERS energy rating.

– For individuals eager to purchase in such areas it is imperative to stay updated on local council developments as well as register for developers’ mailing lists.

– Overall, vacant land markets in new estates are performing well with increasing demand evident. Upper Point Cook, one of the newly released estates consisting of 2,000 lots, has been the second fastest selling development in Melbourne, selling out six months ahead of schedule.

– Due to the ample demand for properties in Melbourne and increasing prices, vacant land markets will not have a major impact on the rest of the market. Rather they provide a foot in the door for first home buyers and young families to purchase a home they potentially would not have been able to afford.

Land_Stats_3

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Thanks to Therese from www.alphabroker.com.au

Best performing capital city: Sydney +5.8%
Weakest performing capital city: Perth -2.7%
Highest gross rental yields: Darwin houses at 5.7% and Darwin units at 5.9%
Lowest gross rental yields: Melbourne houses at 3.2% and Melbourne units at 4.1%
Most expensive city: Sydney, with a median dwelling price of $690,000
Most affordable city: Hobart, with a median dwelling price of $310,000

“Interest-ing! How interest rate cuts drive our real estate” is the theme of this month’s HTW Month in Review

 

– Currently the property market is performing well with steady growth across the board in Melbourne.

– RP Data shows that Melbourne property prices have increased 8.1% over the past 12 months.

– An interest rate fall allows borrowers to feel more confident when borrowing money as their monthly bank repayments would be lower or the amount they borrow could be increased.

– First home buyers would also be encouraged to enter the lower end of the property market and therefore create more demand, which in turn can drive property prices up.

– The lending market would also become more competitive, offering better loan packages as lenders try to attract their share of any increase in borrowing.

– This results in the cost of money becoming cheaper and property values rising.

– The greatest benefit of interest rate cuts will be seen in the lower end of the property market.

– As interest rates are gradually lowered, the Melbourne property market will initially see an increased investment in outer suburban areas of Melbourne such as Craigieburn, Mickleham, Mernda and Doreen.

– These suburbs are at the medium to lower price point value, with a current median sale price of houses in these suburbs of $350,000.

– People living here usually have mid to lower income levels, for example, 19.9% of Craigieburn households earn between $52,000 and $78,000, and would therefore receive more relief or encouragement to borrow when there is an interest rate cut.

– Outer suburbs such as these consist of modern conventional homes that are master planned and mass-produced by large building companies.

– The more people who decide to buy or build a property due to the interest rate cut, the larger the growth of property prices in these suburbs.

– Inner city properties containing higher value properties will be significantly less affected by interest rate cuts.

– The inner suburbs are at the medium to higher price point value with a current median sale price of $1,077,500.

– Generally, those who live closer to the CBD and own their residential dwelling have a higher income, for example, 20.5% of Northcote’s households earn between $78,000 and $130,000 per year.

– With these higher income levels, Parkville and Northcote residents generally own higher value assets such as period or modern dwellings with higher land values.

– As a result, the downward movement of interest rates isn’t going to have as large an effect on these households.

– Cuts to the interest rate would only ensure that consumer confidence remains solid and that properties continue to have steady to moderate growth.

– Many types of investors exist within Melbourne’s property market including property syndicate funds, foreign investment and owners looking to negatively gear.

– All investors receive encouragement from lower interest rates although different categories of investors will be affected to different degrees.

– The RBA lowering the interest rate will boost the already strong number of overseas investors

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Thanks to Therese from Alphabroker

“2015 – the year ahead” is the Theme of this month’s HTW Month in Review..

Opinion on the Melbourne residential market – Here are some highlights:

– There is a generally positive outlook for property market growth in 2015 as the RBA has kept interest rates at 2.5% for 16 months in a row and the inflation rate is 2.3%.

– What this means for investors is that the cost of borrowing money from mortgage lenders is relatively cheap, leading to greater investment and competition in the property market.

– According to RP Data, since the beginning of 2009 Melbourne property values have risen by approximately 45%.

– Growth of approximately 10% in 2013 and strong growth levels in 2014 were recorded according to QBE.

– The QBE Australian Housing Outlook 2014- 2017 states that the high number of new dwellings in the pipeline is likely to tip the market into oversupply from 2015/16, leading to a rise in vacancy rates and progressively weaker property growth.

– According to REIV’s median house price index, September 2014 revealed a $649,000 median price for the city of Melbourne.

– Price growth was impacted by buyer demand especially within Melbourne’s middle suburbs as significant price increases were recorded.

– Coburg has proven to be a suburb of interest for 2015 as purchasers have been priced out of suburbs such as North Fitzroy, Northcote and Thornbury.

– A 16.7% rise for property in Coburg was recorded over 2014 as the median house price soared to $745,000, a $69,000 increase since 2013.

– Doncaster has shown recent improvement as its close proximity to schools, parks, transport and shopping led to solid capital growth of 11.9% over 2014.

– As buyers were priced out of the higher priced suburbs, they sought more affordable options further out, but with infrastructure such as schools and shopping. – Noble Park and Box Hill North have shown an increasing popularity in auction results in recent months as infrastructure plans to improve the appearance and development of these suburbs is strongly encouraged by their local governments.

– The median price for a 3-bedroom detached house in Seaford is $435,000 and $370,000 in Frankston.

– The rental and investment demand is strongly supported by close proximity to public transport and amenities as well as local employment opportunities. – Seaford currently generates an annual growth of 5.89% and a rental yield of 4.06%.

– The annual growth and rental yield for Frankston are 5.2% and 4.5% respectively.

– Both suburbs offer promising future capital growth and rental yield owing to the expected population growth in the City of Frankston, their convenient locations and infrastructure.

– The outlook for the Melbourne property market for 2015 appears positive in the short term, as interest levels are sustainable and encouraging greater investment in the market.

– A weak Australian dollar at US$0.79 encourages a greater level of foreign investment in the property market as the affordability of properties strengthens and interest on loans becomes more sustainable.

– Investors should be conscious of macro market risks such as rising unemployment, sluggish household income growth, affordability issues and cost of living pressures if interest levels fluctuate and population growth doesn’t slow down.

– Modest growth is expected in housing prices, especially for property in prime locations and with a point of difference.

– The outer eastern suburbs are strongly attracting buyers due to their affordability.

 

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Simply jump on the HTW website www.htw.com.au  and follow the prompts.

Highlights over the three months to January 2015:

Best performing capital city: Hobart +4.4%

Weakest performing capital city: Darwin -2.6%

Highest gross rental yields: Darwin houses at 6.0% and Darwin units at 5.9%

Lowest gross rental yields: Melbourne houses at 3.2% and Melbourne units at 4.2%

Most expensive city: Sydney, with a median dwelling price of $723,000

Most affordable city: Hobart, with a median dwelling price of $341,000

Source CoreLogic