Housing market confidence ‘booms’, cash rate cut expected

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Consumer sentiment is surging, confidence in the housing market is booming, and the number of experts tipping a Melbourne Cup Day cash rate cut is increasing. Let’s look at why households and businesses are becoming increasingly optimistic.

Ahh, spring. It’s fair to say we love it around here.

Not only do we usually see an uptick in property market activity (houses always look much nicer in spring), but this year – in particular – we’re seeing consumers more upbeat about what lies ahead.

This can be seen in the latest Westpac-Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment survey, which saw consumer sentiment increase by 11.9% to 105.0 in October (up from 93.8 in September).

“This is an extraordinary result,” says Westpac’s chief economist Bill Evans.

“The index has now lifted by 32% over the last two months to the highest level since July 2018.”

Confidence in the housing market is also high

One of the biggest takeaways from the latest consumer sentiment survey is that more and more people believe now is a good time to purchase property.

“Confidence in the housing market has boomed,” explains Mr Evans.

“The ‘time to buy a dwelling’ index increased 10.6% to its highest level since September 2019.”

House price expectation sentiments also rose strongly, up 31.5% to 117.3 (from 89.2), with all states registering impressive recoveries.

Why is consumer sentiment soaring?

While leaving the doom and gloom of a COVID winter behind and entering spring sure doesn’t hurt, it’s not the only reason for the uptick in consumer sentiment.

This latest survey came right off the back of the federal government’s October Federal Budget, which allocated a record amount of spending and support measures to businesses and households.

There’s also an increasing “expectation that the Reserve Bank (RBA) board is likely to further cut interest rates at its next meeting on November 3”, says Mr Evans.

In fact, according to financial market pricing, there’s now around a 75% chance that it will happen.

That’s because, while previous communications from the RBA indicated that the “effective lower bound” of its official cash rate was 0.25%, in recent weeks it’s changed its tune, hinting at a willingness to cut it to 0.10% on Melbourne Cup Day.

“Recently, we have detected a change in attitude (from the RBA) indicating more confidence that the plumbing of the financial system can operate effectively at an even lower set of policy rates,” says Mr Evans.

“With that in mind, and the commitment towards full employment and the target for inflation, there seems to be no reason for the board to delay its decision.”

How’s your outlook at the moment?

So, how about you? Have things on the financial and property front started to look a little rosier recently?

If so, feel free to get in touch with us today. We’d love to run you through some of the financing options that may available to you in the current financial landscape.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Turbocharged instant asset write-off scheme unveiled

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There was one big-ticket initiative in the federal budget that really caught our eye, and that was the turbocharged version of the instant asset write-off scheme. Today we’ll look at how it could improve your business’s cash flow moving forward.

Did you catch the announcement that businesses, both big and small, can now immediately write off any eligible depreciable asset, at any cost, up until 30 June 2022?

Well, that’s any business with a turnover of up to $5 billion (and I don’t know about you, but I don’t rub shoulders with many businesses that size).

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg says the initiative will unlock investment opportunities for businesses by freeing up their cash flow.

“A trucking company will be able to upgrade its fleet, a farmer will be able to purchase a new harvester and a good manufacturing business will be able to expand its production line,” Mr Frydenberg says.

Let’s look at the scheme in a little more detail

The government is calling the new initiative “temporary full expensing”.

But to put it more simply, it looks like an expanded version of the popular instant asset write-off scheme, which was previously only available for small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs) and for assets up to $150,000.

Now, however, any business with a turnover of up to $5 billion can immediately deduct the full cost of any depreciable asset purchased from 6 October 2020 and first used or installed by 30 June 2022.

The cost of improvements made during this period to existing eligible depreciable assets can also be fully deducted.

There are a few other key details you should be aware of, however, especially when it comes to the purchasing of second-hand assets, including:

– Full expensing also applies to second-hand assets for SMEs (with an aggregated annual turnover of less than $50 million).

– Businesses with aggregated annual turnover between $50 million and $500 million can still deduct the full cost of eligible second-hand assets costing less than $150,000 that are purchased by 31 December 2020 under the existing instant asset write-off scheme.

– SMEs that acquire eligible new or second-hand assets under the $150,000 instant asset write-off by 31 December 2020 will also have an extra six months, until 30 June 2021, to first use or install those assets.

To help explain things further, below is a brief case study provided by the ATO.

Case study: Grace’s Grains

Grace owns an agricultural company, Grace’s Grains Pty Ltd, which has an aggregated annual turnover of $20 million for the 2021-22 income year.

Grace’s Grains Pty Ltd purchases a combine harvester for $600,000, exclusive of GST, on 1 July 2021.

Without temporary full expensing, Grace’s Grains Pty Ltd would claim a total tax deduction of around $180,000 for 2021–22, with the remainder of the cost being depreciated over future years.

Under temporary full expensing, however, Grace’s Grains Pty Ltd will instead claim a deduction of $600,000 for the full cost of the combine harvester in 2021–22, approximately $420,000 more than before.

At the 2021–22 tax rate for small and medium companies of 25%, Grace’s Grains Pty Ltd will pay around $105,000 less tax in 2021–22.

This will improve the company’s cash flow and help Grace reinvest and grow her business.

Your next step

Being able to write-off assets purchased is all well and good, but if you don’t have access to the funds to purchase them, then the scheme won’t be of much use to your business.

So if you’d like help obtaining finance to make the most of temporary full expensing for your business, get in touch with us today.

We can present you with financing options for the scheme that are well suited to your business’s needs now, and into the future.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Responsible lending laws to be axed: what that means for you

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You might have recently heard that ‘responsible lending laws’ are set to be scrapped early next year. Rest assured though that you’ll still be able to borrow responsibly. Let us explain how.

The planned scrapping of the responsible lending laws is the federal government’s latest key initiative to boost economic recovery from the COVID-19 recession.

Now, the federal government (and the banks) say it will simplify the regulatory landscape and free up access to credit for home buyers and small businesses.

Consumer rights advocates, on the other hand, argue it’s all about “giving a free-kick to the banks” and will put borrowers at risk.

But, here’s the good news.

Not only can we assist you in making the most of the upcoming changes, but we can help you determine your borrowing power so that you’re confident to repay any loan you take out.

Sounds like a win-win, right?

Let’s break it all down in a little more detail, and how it might affect you come 1 March 2021.

What are responsible lending laws?

Basically, they put the onus on the lender to determine whether or not a loan is suitable for the applicant, and that the borrower can repay the loan without going into substantial financial hardship.

They were introduced in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis as part of the National Consumer Credit Protection Act 2009.

If you’ve applied for a loan recently, you’ll know firsthand that the bank scrutinises your ability to repay the loan very, very closely.

Ordered take-away a little too much? Had a punt on the latest sports match? Too many streaming subscriptions like Netflix? Chances are these non-essential expenses would draw some very close scrutiny from the lender.

Once the laws are scrapped, however, lenders will be able to rely on the information provided by borrowers.

That means if a would-be borrower overlooks expenses or provides misleading information in their loan application, the lender won’t be the one facing the heat.

Instead, the responsibility is flipped back onto the borrower.

That said, lenders will still be required to comply with APRA’s lending standards, which require sound credit assessment and approval criteria. So it’s not open-slather for banks.

Why it’s changing

Put simply: the federal government is pulling out all stops to kickstart the national economy in 2021.

“What started a decade ago as a principles-based framework to regulate the provision of consumer credit has now evolved into a regime that is overly prescriptive, complex and unnecessarily onerous on consumers,” says Treasurer Josh Frydenberg.

By scrapping the laws, the federal government hopes to reduce the cost and time it will take you to access credit.

“Now more than ever, it is critical that unnecessary barriers to accessing credit are removed so that consumers can continue to spend and businesses can invest and create jobs,” adds Mr Frydenberg.

What it means for you going forward

As mentioned above, the proposed changes will reduce red tape and make it easier for the majority of Australians and small businesses to access credit.

But you’ll still want to make sure you’re not taking on debt that you can’t afford to pay back.

And that’s where we can make ourselves especially useful.

Not only will we be able to guide you through the updated process, but we’ll be able to help you work out your earnings and expenses so that you take on a loan that you’ll be able to confidently repay.

That way you’ll get the best of both worlds: responsible borrowing and easier access to credit.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

JobKeeper 2.0 is about to begin: here’s what you need to know

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Like most sequels, JobKeeper 2.0 won’t be as big a blockbuster as the original. But that’s not to say it won’t help many SMEs navigate the difficult times ahead. Today we’ll cover what you need to know about making the transition for your business. 

It’s hard to believe that JobKeeper 2.0 is due to begin next week.

But it’s actually been half a year (or 13 fortnightly payments) since the scheme was first launched, over which time around 42% of small businesses have accessed it, according to a MYOB survey.

Today we’ll look at whether your business might be eligible for JobKeeper 2.0, and if not, some other potential options that might be worth considering instead.

28 September 2020, JobKeeper extension 1 starts

The first extension will cover seven JobKeeper fortnights between 28 September 2020 and 3 January 2021.

The rates of the JobKeeper payment in this extension period are:

Tier 1: $1,200 per fortnight (for eligible employees or business partners who worked 80+ hours within a four week designated period)

Tier 2: $750 per fortnight (all other eligible employees and eligible business participants).

To claim JobKeeper payments for this period, you will need to show that your GST turnover has declined in the September 2020 quarter relative to a comparable period (generally the corresponding quarter in 2019).

But here’s the good news just in: if the quarter ending 30 September 2019 is not an appropriate comparison period, you may be able to use the alternative tests, the ATO has just confirmed.

These alternative tests are broadly in line with the original seven alternative test circumstances, and cover businesses that started after the comparison period, had a substantial increase in turnover, had an irregular turnover, or were affected by drought or a natural disaster.

The key difference this time around, however, is that the tests must be applied on the basis that the turnover test period is a quarter (rather than the choice between a month or quarter, which you had for the first version of JobKeeper).

What if my business is no longer eligible for JobKeeper?

If your business is no longer eligible for JobKeeper, please know there may be other financing options available to assist you through the coming period.

One option to explore is the federal government’s Coronavirus SME Guarantee Scheme, which allows lenders to provide eligible SMEs unsecured loans more cheaply and more freely than regular business loans.

Another potential option is something like invoice financing, which brings forward payment of your invoices so you have cash in hand sooner, rather than having to wait for your client/s to cough up the cash.

But to be honest, there’s a whole range of possible routes available, some of which might suit your business, others that won’t.

To discuss your options, your best bet is to get in touch with us today so we can sit down with you and see if we can help you work out a path moving forward.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

House prices tipped to surge 15%, RBA hints at cash rate cut

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Strap yourself in: Australian house prices are tipped to experience a mild COVID-19 dip before surging 15% over the following two years, according to some of the nation’s top economists.

And in more good news for homeowners, RBA Deputy Governor Guy Debelle has hinted at further reductions to interest rates, while not going into negative territory.

Both NAB and Westpac economists have been quick to jump on board the rate cut hype train, predicting the RBA could cut the cash rate by 15 basis points to a record low 0.10% as early as October.

But back to that tipped 15% price surge

Westpac’s Chief Economist Bill Evans and Senior Economist Matthew Hassan believe house prices are set to bottom out by June 2021 after a further 2.3% fall – which would mean a total fall of 5% from the peak in April.

But the good news is they’re tipping prices to bounce back hard and fast across the country.

Indeed, the duo expects national dwelling prices to “surge” 15% until mid-2023, or 7.5% per year, led by massive gains of 20% in Brisbane and 18% in Perth.

Sydney (14%), Melbourne (12%) and Adelaide (10%) wouldn’t miss out on the action, either.

If it plays out as predicted, we could see a cumulative increase in national prices of 10% from pre-COVID highs over a three year period.

“This recovery will be supported by sustained low [interest] rates, which are likely to be even lower than current levels,” Mr Evans says.

Such a rebound would also be assisted by ongoing support from regulators, substantially improved affordability, sustained government fiscal support, and a strengthening economic recovery.

Mr Evans adds the recovery would be further aided “once a vaccine becomes available, which we expect in 2021″.

Got your eye on a property?

For those who are confident in their financial circumstances at present, Westpac’s housing market prediction certainly makes it a tempting time to buy, especially if another RBA cash rate cut soon comes to pass.

So if you’re looking to add to your property portfolio, looking for a change of scene, or keen to buy your first home and break into the market, get in touch today.

We’re here to help you find a loan that’s just right for you.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.